{"id":1138,"date":"2025-04-07T11:43:20","date_gmt":"2025-04-07T09:43:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/?p=1138"},"modified":"2025-05-12T10:50:31","modified_gmt":"2025-05-12T08:50:31","slug":"mukodik-az-opec-csapdaja-padlora-kuldtek-az-olajarat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/?p=1138","title":{"rendered":"M\u0171k\u00f6dik az OPEC+ csapd\u00e1ja: Padl\u00f3ra k\u00fcldt\u00e9k az olaj\u00e1rat"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Brent hord\u00f3nk\u00e9nti \u00e1ra k\u00e9t nap alatt 12%-ot zuhant<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00c1prilis 7-\u00e9n reggelre <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/oil-prices-extend-losses-fears-global-trade-war-could-slow-economy-2025-04-06\/\" title=\"\">60 doll\u00e1r al\u00e1<\/a><\/strong> esett a WTI nyersolaj hord\u00f3nk\u00e9nti \u00e1ra, amire 2021 \u00e1prilisa \u00f3ta nem volt p\u00e9lda. Az \u00e1rzuhan\u00e1s alig <strong>k\u00e9t nap alatt t\u00f6bb mint 12 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos<\/strong> vesztes\u00e9get jelentett, \u00e9s ez most m\u00e1r nemcsak a t\u0151zsd\u00e9ket, hanem az amerikai gazdas\u00e1gi kil\u00e1t\u00e1sokat is megrend\u00edtheti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Trump-p\u00e1rti t\u00e1bor gy\u0151zelemk\u00e9nt \u00fcnnepelte az OPEC+ d\u00f6nt\u00e9s\u00e9t<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az OPEC+ m\u00falt heti d\u00f6nt\u00e9se, amely <strong>411 000 hord\u00f3s napi termel\u00e9sn\u00f6vel\u00e9sr\u0151l<\/strong> sz\u00f3lt, kezdetben \u00fagy t\u0171nhetett, mint <strong>Donald Trump szem\u00e9lyes diadala<\/strong>: amit el\u0151dje, Joe Biden nem tudott el\u00e9rni, azt \u0151 most kier\u0151szakolta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Feh\u00e9r H\u00e1z narrat\u00edv\u00e1ja szerint a termel\u00e9sfokoz\u00e1s az eln\u00f6k er\u0151teljes k\u00fclpolitik\u00e1j\u00e1nak eredm\u00e9nye volt, amellyel <strong>nyom\u00e1st gyakorolt Oroszorsz\u00e1gra \u00e9s az olajkartellre<\/strong>. Trump janu\u00e1rban Davosban, majd m\u00e1rcius folyam\u00e1n is felsz\u00f3l\u00edtotta az OPEC-et, hogy n\u00f6velje a kitermel\u00e9st.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Elemz\u0151k: \u201eHa Trumpot seg\u00edteni akart\u00e1k volna, kor\u00e1bban l\u00e9pnek\u201d<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A f\u00fcggetlen piaci elemz\u0151k azonban m\u00e1r a d\u00f6nt\u00e9s napj\u00e1n figyelmeztettek: <strong>ez nem bar\u00e1ti gesztus, hanem strat\u00e9giai v\u00e1lasz<\/strong>. Ha Rij\u00e1d val\u00f3ban Trump k\u00e9r\u00e9s\u00e9nek akart volna eleget tenni, azt <strong>m\u00e1r hetekkel kor\u00e1bban<\/strong> megtehette volna \u2013 <strong>nem akkor, amikor az USA bejelentette v\u00e1mh\u00e1bor\u00faj\u00e1t \u00e9s Oroszorsz\u00e1got is fenyegetni kezdte<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Figyelemre m\u00e9lt\u00f3, hogy a d\u00f6nt\u00e9st <strong>Sza\u00fad-Ar\u00e1bia \u00e9s Oroszorsz\u00e1g k\u00f6z\u00f6sen<\/strong> hozta meg, \u00e9s ez er\u0151s\u00edti a gyan\u00fat, hogy az id\u0151z\u00edt\u00e9s <strong>visszav\u00e1g\u00e1sk\u00e9nt \u00e9rtelmezend\u0151<\/strong> a glob\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1got fenyeget\u0151 amerikai v\u00e1mint\u00e9zked\u00e9sek miatt. Ugyanis a l\u00e9nyeg\u00e9t tekintve az t\u00f6rt\u00e9nt, hogy Trump megkapta, amit akart, csak \u00e9pp a legrosszabbkor \u2013 akkor, amikor az eln\u00f6k politik\u00e1ja megrengette a Wall Streetet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Brent \u00e9s a WTI is padl\u00f3ra ker\u00fclt<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Most, <strong>k\u00e9t nappal k\u00e9s\u0151bb, \u00e1prilis 7-\u00e9n<\/strong>, beigazol\u00f3dni l\u00e1tszanak ezek a figyelmeztet\u00e9sek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A <strong>Brent \u00e1ra 63 doll\u00e1r al\u00e1<\/strong>,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>az amerikai <strong>West Texas Intermediate (WTI) \u00e1ra 59 doll\u00e1r al\u00e1<\/strong> s\u00fcllyedt.<br>Ez 2021 tavasza \u00f3ta a legalacsonyabb szint.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az \u00e1rzuhan\u00e1s f\u0151 okai:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>az OPEC+ hirtelen d\u00f6nt\u00e9se a termel\u00e9s n\u00f6vel\u00e9s\u00e9r\u0151l;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Trump v\u00e1mh\u00e1bor\u00faj\u00e1nak piaci hat\u00e1sai;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>a recesszi\u00f3s f\u00e9lelmek gyors er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9se<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Az amerikai olajipar a t\u0171r\u00e9shat\u00e1r alatt<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az USA palaolaj-termel\u0151i \u2013 akik a vil\u00e1g olajell\u00e1t\u00e1s\u00e1nak jelent\u0151s r\u00e9sz\u00e9t adj\u00e1k \u2013 <strong>55\u201360 doll\u00e1ros \u00e1rfolyam f\u00f6l\u00f6tt tudnak nyeres\u00e9gesen m\u0171k\u00f6dni<\/strong>. Az \u00e1r most <strong>e szint al\u00e1 s\u00fcllyedt<\/strong>, \u00e9s elemz\u0151k szerint:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>kutat\u00e1sok \u00e1llhatnak le<\/strong>,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sok cs\u00faszhatnak<\/strong>,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>t\u00f6bb ezer munkahely ker\u00fclhet vesz\u00e9lybe<\/strong>, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen Texasban, \u00daj-Mexik\u00f3ban \u00e9s \u00c9szak-Dakot\u00e1ban.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/04\/06\/business\/energy-environment\/oil-prices-trump-tariffs.html\" title=\"\">New York<\/a> Times r\u00e1mutatott, hogy <strong>az olajipari c\u00e9gek r\u00e9szv\u00e9nyei k\u00e9t nap alatt 20%-ot estek<\/strong>, a kisebb v\u00e1llalatok m\u00e1r most a visszavonul\u00e1st fontolgatj\u00e1k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A recesszi\u00f3 es\u00e9lye n\u0151<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Goldman Sachs szerint <strong>45%, a JPMorgan szerint 60%<\/strong> az es\u00e9lye, hogy az USA \u00e9s a vil\u00e1g gazdas\u00e1ga <strong>recesszi\u00f3ba fordul<\/strong>. A piaci hangulatot tov\u00e1bb rontja, hogy Trump <strong>v\u00e1mokat vetett ki sz\u00e1mos orsz\u00e1gra<\/strong>, k\u00f6zt\u00fck K\u00edn\u00e1ra, amely 34%-os v\u00e1laszv\u00e1mokat jelentett be amerikai term\u00e9kekre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Fed eln\u00f6ke, Jerome Powell is elismerte: \u201eA v\u00e1mok nagyobbak lettek a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l \u2013 a gazdas\u00e1gi hat\u00e1suk is az lesz.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Gonosz aj\u00e1nd\u00e9k \u2013 politikai csapda<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az OPEC+ teh\u00e1t l\u00e1tsz\u00f3lag eleget tett Trump k\u00e9r\u00e9s\u00e9nek, ezzel <strong>arcot menthetett a Feh\u00e9r H\u00e1z<\/strong>, de val\u00f3j\u00e1ban a kartell <strong>piaci t\u00falk\u00edn\u00e1latot gerjesztett<\/strong>, \u00e9s megingatta az amerikai olajszektor stabilit\u00e1s\u00e1t. A man\u0151ver <strong>egyszerre t\u0171nik engedm\u00e9nynek \u00e9s csapd\u00e1nak<\/strong>: a r\u00f6vid t\u00e1v\u00fa politikai gy\u0151zelem \u00e1ra a hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa gazdas\u00e1gi sebezhet\u0151s\u00e9g lehet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Brent hord\u00f3nk\u00e9nti \u00e1ra k\u00e9t nap alatt 12%-ot zuhant \u00c1prilis 7-\u00e9n reggelre 60 doll\u00e1r al\u00e1 esett a WTI nyersolaj hord\u00f3nk\u00e9nti \u00e1ra, amire 2021 \u00e1prilisa \u00f3ta nem volt p\u00e9lda. Az \u00e1rzuhan\u00e1s alig k\u00e9t nap alatt t\u00f6bb mint 12 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos vesztes\u00e9get jelentett, \u00e9s ez most m\u00e1r nemcsak a t\u0151zsd\u00e9ket, hanem az amerikai gazdas\u00e1gi kil\u00e1t\u00e1sokat is megrend\u00edtheti. A [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1139,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[2454],"tags":[84,90,236,691,541,690,712,711,342,379,80,140],"class_list":["post-1138","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kategoria-nelkuli-hu","tag-egyesult-allamok","tag-fenyegetes","tag-kereskedelmi-haboru","tag-koolaj","tag-olajipar","tag-opec","tag-palagaz","tag-palaolaj","tag-recesszio","tag-trump","tag-usa","tag-vamhaboru"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1138","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1138"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1138\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1140,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1138\/revisions\/1140"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1139"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1138"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1138"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1138"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}