{"id":1901,"date":"2025-07-29T21:22:50","date_gmt":"2025-07-29T19:22:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/?p=1901"},"modified":"2025-07-29T21:22:51","modified_gmt":"2025-07-29T19:22:51","slug":"imf-az-usa-gazdasaga-zsugorodik-kinae-no","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/?p=1901","title":{"rendered":"IMF: Az USA gazdas\u00e1ga zsugorodik, K\u00edn\u00e1\u00e9 n\u0151"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A <strong>Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap friss vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1gi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telesurtv.net\/informe-fmi-economia-eeuu-cae-china-crece\/\" title=\"\">el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se<\/a><\/strong> szerint <strong>K\u00edna gazdas\u00e1ga 2025-ben 4,8%-kal b\u0151v\u00fclhet<\/strong>, ami <strong>0,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kponttal magasabb<\/strong>, mint az \u00e1prilisi becsl\u00e9s. Ezzel szemben <strong>az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok GDP-je az els\u0151 negyed\u00e9vben 0,5%-kal zsugorodott<\/strong> \u2013 ez az els\u0151 visszaes\u00e9s h\u00e1rom \u00e9v \u00f3ta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az IMF \u00fagy v\u00e9li, <strong>az USA \u00e9ves teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nye \u00edgy is pozit\u00edv lehet<\/strong>, az \u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9re <strong>1,9%-os n\u00f6veked\u00e9s<\/strong> v\u00e1rhat\u00f3. A szervezet szerint ezt <strong>a tavaszi gazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9l\u00e9nk\u00fcl\u00e9s<\/strong> \u00e9s <strong>a kereskedelmi fesz\u00fclts\u00e9gek \u00e1tmeneti enyh\u00fcl\u00e9se<\/strong> t\u00e1mogathatja.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Kereskedelmi h\u00e1bor\u00fa \u00e9s \u00e1tmeneti enyh\u00fcl\u00e9s<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2025 elej\u00e9n <strong>Donald Trump 10%-os v\u00e1mot vetett ki minden k\u00ednai \u00e1rura<\/strong>, majd \u00e1prilisban <strong>ezt 145%-ra emelte<\/strong>. <strong>Peking v\u00e1lasza<\/strong> 125%-os v\u00e1m az amerikai term\u00e9kekre. M\u00e1jusban <strong>Genfben magas szint\u0171 t\u00e1rgyal\u00e1sok<\/strong> ut\u00e1n <strong>90 napos \u00e1tmeneti alku<\/strong> sz\u00fcletett:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>USA<\/strong>: v\u00e1mok cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9se 30%-ra<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>K\u00edna<\/strong>: v\u00e1mok cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9se 10%-ra<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ennek ellen\u00e9re <strong>a k\u00e9t orsz\u00e1g k\u00f6z\u00f6tti kereskedelmi forgalom az els\u0151 f\u00e9l\u00e9vben 10,4%-kal esett vissza<\/strong> az el\u0151z\u0151 \u00e9vhez k\u00e9pest, 289 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rra. 2024-ben m\u00e9g <strong>3,7%-os n\u00f6veked\u00e9st<\/strong> m\u00e9rtek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Deviza\u00e1rfolyamok \u00e9s glob\u00e1lis kock\u00e1zatok<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az IMF r\u00e1mutat: <strong>az amerikai doll\u00e1r a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l nagyobb m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben gyeng\u00fclt<\/strong> a korm\u00e1nyzati int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek miatt. A jelent\u00e9s figyelmeztet, hogy <strong>ha az USA vissza\u00e1ll\u00edtan\u00e1 az \u00e1prilis 2-i v\u00e1mokat \u00e9s 50%-os r\u00e9zimportad\u00f3t vetne ki, az f\u00e9kezn\u00e9 a glob\u00e1lis n\u00f6veked\u00e9st<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>El\u0151rejelz\u00e9sek 2026-ra<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az IMF <strong>2026-ra is felfel\u00e9 m\u00f3dos\u00edtotta k\u00ednai progn\u00f3zis\u00e1t<\/strong>, 4,2%-os n\u00f6veked\u00e9st v\u00e1r (0,2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kponttal magasabb az el\u0151z\u0151 becsl\u00e9sn\u00e9l). Az USA-ra vonatkoz\u00f3 kil\u00e1t\u00e1sok v\u00e1ltozatlanul m\u00e9rs\u00e9keltek, f\u0151k\u00e9nt a <strong>tart\u00f3s kereskedelmi fesz\u00fclts\u00e9gek<\/strong> miatt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A jelent\u00e9s \u00fczenete egy\u00e9rtelm\u0171: <strong>a vil\u00e1g k\u00e9t legnagyobb gazdas\u00e1ga elt\u00e9r\u0151 p\u00e1ly\u00e1n halad<\/strong>, \u00e9s a kereskedelmi h\u00e1bor\u00fa kimenetele d\u00f6nt\u0151 lesz a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vek glob\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1gi trendjei szempontj\u00e1b\u00f3l.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Nemzetk\u00f6zi Valutaalap friss vil\u00e1ggazdas\u00e1gi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint K\u00edna gazdas\u00e1ga 2025-ben 4,8%-kal b\u0151v\u00fclhet, ami 0,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kponttal magasabb, mint az \u00e1prilisi becsl\u00e9s. Ezzel szemben az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok GDP-je az els\u0151 negyed\u00e9vben 0,5%-kal zsugorodott \u2013 ez az els\u0151 visszaes\u00e9s h\u00e1rom \u00e9v \u00f3ta. Az IMF \u00fagy v\u00e9li, az USA \u00e9ves teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nye \u00edgy is pozit\u00edv lehet, az \u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9re 1,9%-os [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1902,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[2454],"tags":[84,236,47,80,140],"class_list":["post-1901","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kategoria-nelkuli-hu","tag-egyesult-allamok","tag-kereskedelmi-haboru","tag-kina","tag-usa","tag-vamhaboru"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1901","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1901"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1901\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1903,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1901\/revisions\/1903"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1902"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1901"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1901"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1901"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}