{"id":2030,"date":"2025-08-28T20:19:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-28T18:19:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/?p=2030"},"modified":"2025-09-06T10:49:46","modified_gmt":"2025-09-06T08:49:46","slug":"az-orosz-lakossag-nem-huzza-be-a-feket-a-kormany-igen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/?p=2030","title":{"rendered":"Az orosz lakoss\u00e1g nem h\u00fazza be a f\u00e9ket, a korm\u00e1ny igen"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Oroszorsz\u00e1g lakoss\u00e1ga 2025 nyar\u00e1n nem v\u00e1ls\u00e1g\u00fczemm\u00f3dban \u00e9l.<\/strong> A hivatalos <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kommersant.ru\/doc\/7991312?from=main\" title=\"\">statisztik\u00e1k szerint<\/a> a <strong>re\u00e1lb\u00e9rek \u00e9s re\u00e1lj\u00f6vedelmek emelkednek<\/strong>, a <strong>munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9g rekordalacsony<\/strong>, \u00e9s a <strong>mag\u00e1nfogyaszt\u00e1s a gazdas\u00e1g f\u0151 hajt\u00f3erej\u00e9v\u00e9 v\u00e1lt<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Roszsztat adatai alapj\u00e1n:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A <strong>re\u00e1lb\u00e9rek j\u00faniusban 5,1%-kal n\u0151ttek<\/strong> \u00e9ves alapon.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A <strong>re\u00e1lj\u00f6vedelmek 6,9%-os n\u00f6veked\u00e9st<\/strong> mutattak az els\u0151 f\u00e9l\u00e9vben.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A <strong>munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9g 2,2%<\/strong>, ami gyakorlatilag teljes foglalkoztatotts\u00e1got jelent.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A <strong>kiskereskedelmi, vend\u00e9gl\u00e1t\u00f3ipari \u00e9s fizet\u0151s szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1si forgalom<\/strong> j\u00faliusban 2,2%-kal n\u0151tt, augusztusban tov\u00e1bbi gyorsul\u00e1s v\u00e1rhat\u00f3.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A fogyaszt\u00f3i viselked\u00e9s teh\u00e1t nem jelez \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1st vagy p\u00e1nikot.<\/strong> Az emberek k\u00f6ltenek, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen \u00e9lelmiszerre \u00e9s mindennapi szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1sokra. Ez egy\u00e9rtelm\u0171en elt\u00e9r att\u00f3l, amit v\u00e1ls\u00e1gok idej\u00e9n m\u00e1s orsz\u00e1gokban tapasztalni szok\u00e1s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sok: m\u00e9rs\u00e9kelt n\u00f6veked\u00e9s, de statisztikai torzul\u00e1sokkal<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sok szint\u00e9n <strong>pozit\u00edv tartom\u00e1nyban<\/strong> maradtak:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Az els\u0151 f\u00e9l\u00e9vben <strong>4,3%-os n\u00f6veked\u00e9st<\/strong> mutattak.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A m\u00e1sodik negyed\u00e9vben <strong>lak\u00e1s\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9sben (+11,5%)<\/strong> \u00e9s <strong>szellemi tulajdonban (+12,6%)<\/strong> k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen er\u0151s volt az aktivit\u00e1s.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ugyanakkor az elemz\u0151k szerint ez r\u00e9szben <strong>statisztikai b\u00e1zishat\u00e1snak<\/strong> tudhat\u00f3 be, \u00e9s a <strong>v\u00e1llalatok \u00f3vatosabb\u00e1 v\u00e1ltak<\/strong> a j\u00f6v\u0151beni beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sokkal kapcsolatban \u2013 k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen a feldolgoz\u00f3iparban, ahol a profitok cs\u00f6kkennek, \u00e9s a kamatk\u00f6rnyezet is szigor\u00fa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Ipari termel\u00e9s: visszaes\u00e9s k\u00e9t egym\u00e1st k\u00f6vet\u0151 h\u00f3napban<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az orosz gazdas\u00e1g <strong>termel\u0151 szektora azonban m\u00e1r nem ennyire er\u0151s<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>J\u00faniusban \u00e9s j\u00faliusban az ipari termel\u00e9s <strong>h\u00f3napr\u00f3l h\u00f3napra cs\u00f6kkent<\/strong>, szezon\u00e1lis hat\u00e1sok kisz\u0171r\u00e9s\u00e9vel.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A feldolgoz\u00f3ipari c\u00e9gek k\u00f6z\u00fcl t\u00f6bb <strong>negat\u00edv konjunktur\u00e1lis kil\u00e1t\u00e1sokr\u00f3l sz\u00e1molt be<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A Roszsztat ennek megfelel\u0151en <strong>cs\u00f6kkentette a 2025 els\u0151 f\u00e9l\u00e9v\u00e9re vonatkoz\u00f3 ipari n\u00f6veked\u00e9si el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t 0,8%-ra<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ez komoly figyelmeztet\u0151 jel, mivel a gazdas\u00e1g <strong>hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa stabilit\u00e1sa nem t\u00e1maszkodhat kiz\u00e1r\u00f3lag a lakoss\u00e1gi keresletre<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>K\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9s: n\u00f6vekv\u0151 deficit \u00e9s olajbev\u00e9telek cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi szektorban a legnagyobb kih\u00edv\u00e1s a <strong>k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si egyens\u00faly meg\u0151rz\u00e9se<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>J\u00falius v\u00e9g\u00e9ig <strong>4,9 billi\u00f3 rubeles hi\u00e1ny<\/strong> keletkezett, ami a GDP 2,2%-a \u2013 magasabb, mint az eg\u00e9sz \u00e9vre tervezett.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Az olaj- \u00e9s g\u00e1zszektorb\u00f3l sz\u00e1rmaz\u00f3 ad\u00f3bev\u00e9telek <strong>18,5%-kal visszaestek<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A korm\u00e1ny 2026\u20132028-ra sz\u00f3l\u00f3 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kommersant.ru\/doc\/7991242?from=main\" title=\"\">k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si terv\u00e9ben<\/a> <strong>prioriz\u00e1lja a nemzeti projekteket<\/strong>, m\u00edg m\u00e1s ter\u00fcleteken \u2013 k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen az infrastruktur\u00e1lis \u00e9s szubvencion\u00e1lt hitelez\u00e9si programokban \u2013 <strong>k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si szigorra lehet sz\u00e1m\u00edtani<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Kamatpolitika \u00e9s koordin\u00e1ci\u00f3: \u00f3vatos egyens\u00falykeres\u00e9s<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A korm\u00e1ny c\u00e9lja, hogy a <strong>kiegyens\u00falyozott k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9ssel megteremtse a jegybanki kamatcs\u00f6kkent\u00e9s alapj\u00e1t<\/strong>, hiszen:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Minden egyes sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kpontos kamatcs\u00f6kkent\u00e9s 200 milli\u00e1rd rubelt takar\u00edtana meg<\/strong> az \u00e1llamnak a hitelek szubvenci\u00f3j\u00e1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A kamatcs\u00f6kkent\u00e9s <strong>\u00e9l\u00e9nk\u00edthetn\u00e9 a hitelpiacot \u00e9s a termel\u0151\u00e1gazatokat<\/strong> \u2013 k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen a feldolgoz\u00f3ipart, ahol jelenleg lassul\u00e1s l\u00e1that\u00f3.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ez azonban finom egyens\u00falyoz\u00e1st ig\u00e9nyel, hiszen a t\u00falzott k\u00f6ltekez\u00e9s <strong>infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s nyom\u00e1st<\/strong> id\u00e9zhet el\u0151, amit a jegybank nem n\u00e9z j\u00f3 szemmel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u00d6sszegz\u00e9s: k\u00e9tarc\u00fa gazdas\u00e1g stabil lakoss\u00e1ggal<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oroszorsz\u00e1g gazdas\u00e1gi helyzete <strong>\u00f6sszetett \u00e9s r\u00e9tegezett<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>A lakoss\u00e1g anyagi helyzete meglep\u0151en stabil<\/strong>, a fogyaszt\u00e1s \u00e9l\u00e9nk, a j\u00f6vedelmek n\u0151nek, a munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9g t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmi m\u00e9lyponton.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>A v\u00e1llalatok \u00e9s az ipar viszont visszafogottabbak<\/strong>, a beruh\u00e1z\u00e1si hajland\u00f3s\u00e1g cs\u00f6kkenhet, a profitr\u00e1t\u00e1k esnek.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A <strong>k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si mozg\u00e1st\u00e9r sz\u0171k\u00fcl<\/strong>, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen az olajbev\u00e9telek visszaes\u00e9se miatt.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A korm\u00e1ny <strong>fisk\u00e1lis fegyelemre<\/strong> \u00e9s <strong>jegybanki egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9sre<\/strong> \u00e9p\u00edti strat\u00e9gi\u00e1j\u00e1t \u2013 amely <strong>t\u00f6r\u00e9keny, de eddig m\u0171k\u00f6d\u0151k\u00e9pes<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az orosz gazdas\u00e1g nem \u00e1ll \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1s sz\u00e9l\u00e9n. <strong>A kih\u00edv\u00e1sok val\u00f3sak, de a rendszer egyens\u00falyban tart\u00e1sa \u2013 legal\u00e1bbis r\u00f6vid t\u00e1von \u2013 sikeresnek t\u0171nik.<\/strong> A k\u00e9rd\u00e9s az, hogy meddig tarthat\u00f3 fenn ez a helyzet \u00fagy, hogy k\u00f6zben az ipari b\u00e1zis \u00fajra n\u00f6veked\u00e9si p\u00e1ly\u00e1ra \u00e1lljon. A v\u00e1lasz sokban f\u00fcgg majd a kamatpolitik\u00e1t\u00f3l, az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s p\u00e1ly\u00e1t\u00f3l, \u00e9s a nemzetk\u00f6zi kereskedelmi k\u00f6rnyezett\u0151l is.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oroszorsz\u00e1g lakoss\u00e1ga 2025 nyar\u00e1n nem v\u00e1ls\u00e1g\u00fczemm\u00f3dban \u00e9l. A hivatalos statisztik\u00e1k szerint a re\u00e1lb\u00e9rek \u00e9s re\u00e1lj\u00f6vedelmek emelkednek, a munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9g rekordalacsony, \u00e9s a mag\u00e1nfogyaszt\u00e1s a gazdas\u00e1g f\u0151 hajt\u00f3erej\u00e9v\u00e9 v\u00e1lt. A Roszsztat adatai alapj\u00e1n: A fogyaszt\u00f3i viselked\u00e9s teh\u00e1t nem jelez \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1st vagy p\u00e1nikot. Az emberek k\u00f6ltenek, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen \u00e9lelmiszerre \u00e9s mindennapi szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1sokra. Ez egy\u00e9rtelm\u0171en elt\u00e9r att\u00f3l, amit v\u00e1ls\u00e1gok idej\u00e9n [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2031,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[2454],"tags":[498,1004,815,322,581,652,46,97,48],"class_list":["post-2030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kategoria-nelkuli-hu","tag-gazdasagi-novekedes","tag-gazdasagpolitika","tag-koltsegvetes","tag-moszkva","tag-orosz-gazdasag","tag-orosz-ipar","tag-oroszorszag","tag-putyin","tag-szankciok"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2030","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2030"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2030\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2032,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2030\/revisions\/2032"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2031"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2030"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2030"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2030"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}