{"id":3649,"date":"2026-05-29T11:18:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T09:18:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/?p=3649"},"modified":"2026-05-29T11:18:14","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T09:18:14","slug":"nem-kell-temetni-a-kavet-rekordtermest-var-brazilia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/?p=3649","title":{"rendered":"Nem kell temetni a k\u00e1v\u00e9t: rekordterm\u00e9st v\u00e1r Braz\u00edlia"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Braz\u00edlia 2026-ban <strong>rekordmennyis\u00e9g\u0171 k\u00e1v\u00e9term\u00e9st<\/strong> takar\u00edthat be a kedvez\u0151 id\u0151j\u00e1r\u00e1snak, a termeszt\u00e9si ter\u00fcletek b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9nek \u00e9s az \u00fcltetv\u00e9nyek termel\u00e9kenys\u00e9gi ciklusa javul\u00e1s\u00e1nak k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151en \u2013 der\u00fcl ki a brazil \u00e1llami ell\u00e1t\u00e1si v\u00e1llalat, a <strong>CONAB<\/strong> m\u00e1sodik 2026-os k\u00e1v\u00e9term\u00e9s-becsl\u00e9s\u00e9b\u0151l. A k\u00f6zvetlen referencia a CONAB adatait ismertet\u0151 brazil k\u00e1v\u00e9export\u0151ri tan\u00e1cs, a <strong>Cecaf\u00e9<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cecafe.com.br\/publicacoes\/noticias\/producao-de-cafe-e-estimada-em-667-milhoes-de-sacas-na-safra-2026-alta-de-18-2-20260521\" title=\"\">k\u00f6zl\u00e9se<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>T\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmi rekord j\u00f6het a brazil k\u00e1v\u00e9term\u00e9sben<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A vil\u00e1g legnagyobb k\u00e1v\u00e9termeszt\u0151 \u00e9s -export\u0151r orsz\u00e1ga az idei szezonban <strong>66,7 milli\u00f3, egyenk\u00e9nt 60 kilogrammos zs\u00e1knyi term\u00e9sre<\/strong> sz\u00e1m\u00edt, ami <strong>18 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal haladn\u00e1 meg<\/strong> az el\u0151z\u0151 \u00e9vi mennyis\u00e9get, \u00e9s t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmi rekordot jelentene. Az el\u0151z\u0151 rekordot 2020-ban m\u00e9rt\u00e9k, amikor Braz\u00edlia <strong>63,08 milli\u00f3 zs\u00e1k<\/strong> k\u00e1v\u00e9t takar\u00edtott be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A CONAB adatai szerint a k\u00e1v\u00e9termeszt\u00e9sre haszn\u00e1lt ter\u00fclet <strong>3,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal, 2,34 milli\u00f3 hekt\u00e1rra<\/strong> n\u0151het. Ebb\u0151l 1,94 milli\u00f3 hekt\u00e1r m\u00e1r term\u0151ter\u00fclet, 401,7 ezer hekt\u00e1r pedig m\u00e9g kialak\u00edt\u00e1s alatt \u00e1ll. Az orsz\u00e1gos \u00e1tlagos term\u00e9shozam hekt\u00e1ronk\u00e9nt <strong>13 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal, 34,4 zs\u00e1kra<\/strong> emelkedhet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Az arabica h\u00fazhatja a n\u00f6veked\u00e9st<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az export szempontj\u00e1b\u00f3l legfontosabb \u00e9s legnagyobb hozz\u00e1adott \u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 <strong>arabica k\u00e1v\u00e9<\/strong> termel\u00e9se 45,8 milli\u00f3 zs\u00e1k lehet, ami <strong>28 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos n\u00f6veked\u00e9st<\/strong> jelentene \u00e9ves \u00f6sszevet\u00e9sben. A v\u00e1llalat szerint ezt els\u0151sorban a pozit\u00edv k\u00e9t\u00e9ves termel\u00e9si ciklus \u00e9s a f\u0151 term\u0151ter\u00fcleteken tapasztalt kedvez\u0151 id\u0151j\u00e1r\u00e1si felt\u00e9telek t\u00e1mogatj\u00e1k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Az els\u0151sorban instant k\u00e1v\u00e9 \u00e9s ipari term\u00e9kek el\u0151\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1hoz haszn\u00e1lt <strong>conilon, vagyis robusta t\u00edpus\u00fa k\u00e1v\u00e9<\/strong> termel\u00e9se 20,9 milli\u00f3 zs\u00e1kra emelkedhet. Ez <strong>0,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos n\u00f6veked\u00e9s<\/strong> az el\u0151z\u0151 betakar\u00edt\u00e1shoz k\u00e9pest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Minas Gerais adhatja az orsz\u00e1gos term\u00e9s fel\u00e9t<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A legnagyobb termel\u0151 \u00e1llamnak sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00f3 <strong>Minas Gerais<\/strong> az orsz\u00e1gos kibocs\u00e1t\u00e1s k\u00f6zel fel\u00e9t adhatja. A v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sok szerint <strong>33,4 milli\u00f3 zs\u00e1kos term\u00e9st<\/strong> takar\u00edthatnak be, ami <strong>29,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos emelked\u00e9s<\/strong> \u00e9ves alapon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A j\u00f3 eredm\u00e9nyt a CONAB a pozit\u00edv termel\u00e9si ciklussal, a vir\u00e1gz\u00e1st megel\u0151z\u0151 h\u00f3napokban kedvez\u0151bben eloszl\u00f3 csapad\u00e9kkal, valamint a m\u00e1rciusig tart\u00f3 kedvez\u0151 id\u0151j\u00e1r\u00e1ssal magyar\u00e1zza. Ezek a t\u00e9nyez\u0151k jav\u00edtott\u00e1k a szemk\u00e9pz\u0151d\u00e9st \u00e9s a term\u00e9shozamot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Az export visszaesett, de ez nem felt\u00e9tlen\u00fcl tart\u00f3s<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A kedvez\u0151 term\u00e9skil\u00e1t\u00e1sok ellen\u00e9re az \u00e9v elej\u00e9n a brazil k\u00e1v\u00e9export visszaesett. Janu\u00e1rt\u00f3l \u00e1prilisig Braz\u00edlia <strong>11,5 milli\u00f3 zs\u00e1k<\/strong> k\u00e1v\u00e9t export\u00e1lt, ami <strong>22,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos cs\u00f6kken\u00e9st<\/strong> jelent az el\u0151z\u0151 \u00e9v azonos id\u0151szak\u00e1hoz k\u00e9pest a brazil fejleszt\u00e9si, ipari, kereskedelmi \u00e9s szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1si miniszt\u00e9rium adatai alapj\u00e1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A visszaes\u00e9st els\u0151sorban az el\u0151z\u0151 \u00e9vek gyeng\u00e9bb term\u00e9sei \u00e9s az alacsony belf\u00f6ldi k\u00e9szletek magyar\u00e1zz\u00e1k. A v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sok szerint ugyanakkor a kivitel a m\u00e1sodik f\u00e9l\u00e9vben ism\u00e9t \u00e9l\u00e9nk\u00fclhet, ahogy az \u00faj term\u00e9s megjelenik a piacon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>A kl\u00edmav\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s tov\u00e1bbra is komoly kock\u00e1zat<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kor\u00e1bban t\u00f6bb kutat\u00e1s is a v\u00e9szharangot kongatta a k\u00e1v\u00e9 j\u00f6v\u0151je miatt. A <strong>PLOS Climate<\/strong> szaklapban megjelent tanulm\u00e1ny szerint a k\u00e1v\u00e9termel\u00e9st egyre ink\u00e1bb fenyegetik a t\u00e9rben \u00f6sszekapcsol\u00f3d\u00f3, t\u00f6bb r\u00e9gi\u00f3t egyszerre \u00e9rint\u0151 \u00e9ghajlati kock\u00e1zatok. A kutat\u00f3k azt vizsg\u00e1lt\u00e1k, hogyan hatnak a sz\u00e9ls\u0151s\u00e9ges h\u0151m\u00e9rs\u00e9kleti \u00e9s csapad\u00e9kviszonyok a vil\u00e1g f\u0151 k\u00e1v\u00e9termeszt\u0151 t\u00e9rs\u00e9geire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A tanulm\u00e1ny szerint 1980 \u00e9s 2020 k\u00f6z\u00f6tt minden jelent\u0151s k\u00e1v\u00e9termeszt\u0151 r\u00e9gi\u00f3ban n\u0151tt az \u00e9ghajlati vesz\u00e9lyek \u00e9s az \u00f6sszetett id\u0151j\u00e1r\u00e1si esem\u00e9nyek sz\u00e1ma. Ez azt jelenti, hogy a k\u00e1v\u00e9termel\u00e9s nemcsak egy-egy orsz\u00e1gban v\u00e1lhat sebezhet\u0151bb\u00e9, hanem egyszerre t\u00f6bb nagy termel\u0151 t\u00e9rs\u00e9gben is kialakulhatnak hozamcs\u00f6kkent\u0151 k\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00e9nyek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Nem j\u00f6tt el az \u00f6sszeoml\u00e1s, de a biztons\u00e1g sem garant\u00e1lt<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A brazil rekordterm\u00e9s kil\u00e1t\u00e1sa azt mutatja, hogy <strong>t\u00e1volr\u00f3l sem kell elk\u00f6sz\u00f6nn\u00fcnk a k\u00e1v\u00e9t\u00f3l<\/strong>. A k\u00e1v\u00e9piac tov\u00e1bbra is k\u00e9pes er\u0151s termel\u00e9si \u00e9veket produk\u00e1lni, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen akkor, ha a nagy termel\u0151 orsz\u00e1gokban kedvez\u0151en alakul az id\u0151j\u00e1r\u00e1s \u00e9s a termel\u00e9si ciklus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A hosszabb t\u00e1v\u00fa k\u00e9p azonban \u00f3vatosabb \u00e9rtelmez\u00e9st k\u00edv\u00e1n. A kl\u00edmav\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s, az id\u0151j\u00e1r\u00e1si sz\u00e9ls\u0151s\u00e9gek, az alacsony k\u00e9szletszintek \u00e9s a termel\u0151 r\u00e9gi\u00f3k s\u00e9r\u00fcl\u00e9kenys\u00e9ge miatt a k\u00e1v\u00e9 \u00e1ra \u00e9s el\u00e9rhet\u0151s\u00e9ge a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vekben is er\u0151sen ingadozhat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vagyis <strong>a k\u00e1v\u00e9 nincs elt\u0171n\u0151ben<\/strong>, de a piac egyre \u00e9rz\u00e9kenyebb: egy rekord brazil term\u00e9s \u00e1tmenetileg enyh\u00edtheti a nyom\u00e1st, a kl\u00edmav\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s viszont tov\u00e1bbra is struktur\u00e1lis kock\u00e1zatot jelent a glob\u00e1lis k\u00e1v\u00e9ell\u00e1t\u00e1sban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Braz\u00edlia 2026-ban rekordmennyis\u00e9g\u0171 k\u00e1v\u00e9term\u00e9st takar\u00edthat be a kedvez\u0151 id\u0151j\u00e1r\u00e1snak, a termeszt\u00e9si ter\u00fcletek b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9nek \u00e9s az \u00fcltetv\u00e9nyek termel\u00e9kenys\u00e9gi ciklusa javul\u00e1s\u00e1nak k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151en \u2013 der\u00fcl ki a brazil \u00e1llami ell\u00e1t\u00e1si v\u00e1llalat, a CONAB m\u00e1sodik 2026-os k\u00e1v\u00e9term\u00e9s-becsl\u00e9s\u00e9b\u0151l. A k\u00f6zvetlen referencia a CONAB adatait ismertet\u0151 brazil k\u00e1v\u00e9export\u0151ri tan\u00e1cs, a Cecaf\u00e9 k\u00f6zl\u00e9se. T\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmi rekord j\u00f6het a brazil k\u00e1v\u00e9term\u00e9sben A vil\u00e1g legnagyobb [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3654,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[4562],"tags":[102,109,4880,259,307],"class_list":["post-3649","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-erdekessegek","tag-brazilia","tag-del-amerika","tag-kave","tag-klimavaltozas","tag-mezogazdasag"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3649","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3649"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3649\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3653,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3649\/revisions\/3653"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3654"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3649"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3649"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ujvilagtrend.hu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3649"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}